Te āhua hokohoko o waho o te rama o waho me te tātari raraunga mākete

I te tauhokohoko ā-ao o ngā taputapu o waho, kua noho ngā rama mua o waho hei wāhanga nui o te mākete tauhokohoko ki tāwāhi nā te mea he whai hua, he mea nui hoki.

Tuatahi:Te rahi o te mākete o te ao me ngā raraunga tipu

E ai ki te Global Market Monitor, e matapaetia ana ka eke te mākete rama upoko o te ao ki te $147.97 miriona i te tau 2025, he tohu tēnei i te whānui haere o te mākete ki ngā tatauranga o mua. E matapaetia ana ka noho tonu te tere tipu ā-tau (CAGR) ki te 4.85% mai i te tau 2025 ki te 2030, ka hipa ake i te tipu toharite o te umanga taputapu o waho o te ao o te 3.5%. E whakaata ana tēnei tipu i te hiahia tūturu mō ngā rama upoko hei hua kaihoko pumau.

Tuarua:Te wehewehe raraunga mākete ā-rohe

1. ​Te rahi me te ōwehenga o ngā moni whiwhi

2. Ngā rerekētanga tipu ā-rohe

Ngā rohe tipu tere: Ko te rohe o Āhia-Moananui-a-Kiwa te kaiārahi i te tipu, me te tipu ā-tau e 12.3% i te tau 2025, ko te mākete o Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti te pikinga nui —— Ko te tipu ā-tau o te maha o ngā kaihaerere i tēnei rohe he 15%, e akiaki ana i te tipu ā-tau o ngā kawemai rama matua mā te 18%.

Ngā rohe tipu pumau: He pumau te tere tipu o ngā mākete o Amerika Te Raki me Ūropi, arā, 5.2% me 4.9% ia, engari nā te nui o te turanga, ko rātou tonu te pūtake matua o te moni whiwhi hokohoko ki tāwāhi; i roto i a rātou, ko te mākete kotahi o te Hononga o Amerika e 83% o te moni whiwhi katoa o Amerika Te Raki, ā, ko Tiamana me Wīwī e 61% o te moni whiwhi katoa o Ūropi.

Tuatoru:Te tātari raraunga o ngā āhuatanga e awe ana i te hokohoko ki tāwāhi

1. Ngā utu kaupapa here hokohoko me ngā utu tutuki i ngā whakaritenga

Pānga o te takoha tikanga: Ka whakatakotohia e ētahi whenua he takoha tikanga o te 5%-15% mō ngā rama mua kawemai

2. Te ine i te mōrearea o te reiti whakawhiti moni

Hei tauira, ko te reiti whakawhiti moni USD/CNY, ko te awhe piki me te heke o te reiti whakawhiti moni i te tau 2024-2025 he 6.8-7.3

3. Ngā piki me ngā heke o ngā utu o te mekameka tuku

Ngā rauemi mata matua: I te tau 2025, ka eke te pikinga o te utu o ngā rauemi mata o te pākahiko lithium ki te 18%, ka hua ake he pikinga o te utu kotahi o ngā rama matua ki te 4.5% -5.4%.

Te utu mō ngā mahi kawe: Ka heke te utu kaipuke o te ao i te tau 2025 mā te 12% ki te whakataurite ki te tau 2024, engari he 35% teitei ake tonu i tērā i te tau 2020.

Tuawhā:Te tirohanga raraunga whai wāhitanga mākete

1. Te wāhi piki haere o te mākete e puta ake ana

Mākete o Ūropi Waenganui me te Rawhiti: E matapaetia ana ka piki ake te tono kawemai rama o waho mā te 14% i te tau 2025, ā, ka piki ake ngā mākete o Pōrana me Hanekari mā te 16% ia tau, ā, e pai ake ana ki ngā hua utu iti (US$15-30 ia waeine)

Mākete o Āhia ki te Tonga-Rawhiti: Ko te tere tipu ā-tau o ngā hoko rama upoko whakawhiti-rohe e 25%. E matapaetia ana ka neke atu i te $80 miriona te GMV o ngā rama upoko i ngā tūāpapa Lazada me Shopee i te tau 2025, ā, ko te 67% o ēnei he rama upoko ātete-wai (IP65 me runga ake).

2. Ngā au o ngā raraunga auahatanga hua

Ngā whakaritenga mahi: E matapaetia ana ko ngā rama matua me te whakaiti mārama (te kite mārama) ka eke ki te 38% o ngā hokonga o te ao i te tau 2025, he pikinga 22 ōrau mai i te tau 2020; ko ngā rama matua e tautoko ana i te utu tere Momo-C ka kite i te pikinga o te whakaae o te mākete mai i te 45% i te tau 2022 ki te 78% i te tau 2025.

Hei whakarāpopototanga, ahakoa he maha ngā wero e pā ana ki te mākete kaweake rama o waho, e whakaatu ana ngā raraunga i te kaha tipu nui. Me whakatairanga ngā umanga e aro ana ki te kaweake i ngā mākete hou pēnei i a Āhia ki te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti me Ūropi Waenganui me te Rawhiti, me te arotahi ki ngā hua mahi e hiahiatia ana. Mā te whakatinana i ngā rautaki ārai moni me te whakatū i ngā whatunga mekameka tuku kanorau, ka taea e ngā kamupene te whakaiti i ngā mōrearea mai i ngā piki me ngā heke o te utu whakawhiti, ā, mā reira ka mau te tipu pumau.